Talk:Illyria/@comment-76.167.187.223-20131004195008/@comment-134.134.139.72-20131004202927

My argument was based on time, not potions. You said you got 7 UR. That would take many hours - more hours than have elapsed since the event started. And I was speaking in an aggregate sense, which is key. In other words, yes, your statements are correct as applicable to a single UR - you could technically pull one on your first try. But the law of averages applies here... You aren't going to pull one on your first 7 tries. The other 6 may take longer than average (in fact, statistically they almost inevitably WILL take longer than average - this is the very definition of an average!)  Net is that the number of attempts for 7 will be something around 7 times the average. And that is MANY more tries than are possible in even 12 hours. You are not telling the truth. Plain and simple.